Derek Moore is joined by Mike Puck to compare this selloff to others like 2020, 1998, 2015, 2000 and more. Then they talk about how the Trump administration is arriving at their tariff percentages. Later, they discus how the market didn’t price in the eventual announcement. How things like the VIX Index and the High Yield Bond spread Thursday weren’t high enough. Did the market miscalculate the tariff announcement? What is the sentiment among advisors and investors from what we are hearing and are we at max panic yet plus the continued case for hedging.
When do we reach capitulation?
The market is cheaper so will people step in and buy?
The problem analysts have in making forecasts given the tariff landscape
Explaining implied volatility vs historical volatility
Why was the VIX higher after the first bad day Thursday
Discussing how a VIX closes at 45 is significant
Remembering sentiment at different inflection points in the market like 2020, 2015 2000 etc
Markets are back to where they were in August when the Yen Carry trade unwound
Why investors shouldn’t panic
The case for using hedged equity strategies
What does a bottom look like?
Market is much cheaper on a forward valuation basis
What are the economic risks?
Unemployment was fine and the economy was adding jobs so what’s the problem?
Atlanta Fed GDP Update
Mentioned in this Episode
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
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