Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli are back again to discuss whether the level of the VIX Index at all-time market highs is a predictor of future market moves. Then, with earnings season kicking off in earnest, reviewing the analyst lofty estimates including some very surprising numbers for Russell 2000 Index companies. Later, Derek goes through some data that basically says the CPI YoY % change isn’t around 2% too often despite the Feds “mandate” of 2% inflation target. Finally, they discuss NFLX earnings and what the options market is saying plus a few other companies including United Healthcare.
The level of the VIX Index at all-time S&P 500 Index highs and the next 60 days, 3&6 months
Does where the VIX Index is at all-time market highs really matter?
The Fed’s elusive 2% target when looking at monthly data back to January of 2012
How often the year over year (YoY) percent change in CPI is at different levels
VIX Index vs bond volatility seen via the MOVE Index
Netflix (NFLX) and United Healthcare (UNH) options market pre-earnings check in
Implied volatility of options prior to earnings releases
Predictions for the November Fed meeting
Quarterly earnings estimates for the S&P 500 Index over the next two years are bullish
Reviewing the Russell 2000 Index earnings estimates and how lofty they are currently
Looking at growth of next 12 months earnings estimates vs the S&P 500 Index itself
Mentioned in this Episode
VIX Too High at All-Time Market Highs? | Employment Surprises | Interest Rate Cut Expectations Drop| No More Port Strike | Technical Analysis on Markets https://open.spotify.com/episode/7uOX1CRDw8T9q1lNpx2lHc?si=2078c3e6fbec4a2c
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
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