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May 11, 2024 1 min

Wet weekend in store for portions of the Central/Southern Plains and
adjacent Rockies...

A pair of frontal systems will bring shower and storm chances from the
Great Lakes to the Mid-Atlantic this weekend...

Above average temperatures will spread across the West and
north-central U.S. this weekend...

A wet weekend is in store for portions of the Central/Southern Plains and
adjacent Rockies as a cooler, moist airmass has settled in north of a
frontal boundary stalled out just south of the U.S.-Mexico border.
Scattered, lighter showers through Friday evening/early Saturday will
become more widespread and heavier through the day Saturday, with isolated
flash flooding possible. Higher elevations of the central Rockies will see
some snow, though accumulations should remain much lighter compared to the
past couple of days. Then, on Sunday, the boundary will lift back
northward through Texas and into the Lower Mississippi Valley as a warm
front, bringing deeper moisture, higher instability, and the potential for
more intense downpours. A Slight Risk of Excessive Rainfall (level 2/5)
has been issued for portions of central/eastern Texas into the Lower
Mississippi Valley for the risk of scattered flash flooding, particularly
where antecedent conditions remain wet due to recent heavy rainfall in
eastern Texas. 

To the east, shower and thunderstorm chances will taper off along the East
Coast Friday evening as a cold front pushes offshore, lingering longest
across Florida. Another frontal system dropping southeast from Canada will
bring some scattered showers and thunderstorms to the Upper Midwest/Great
Lakes overnight Friday, then spreading into the Upper Ohio
Valley/Appalachians and Mid-Atlantic during the day Saturday. Storms will
diminish overnight Saturday as this system departs the East Coast as well.
Yet another system is forecast to follow in its wake, bringing some
renewed scattered storm chances to the Great Lakes Sunday. Other areas of
the country should remain mostly dry through the weekend.

An upper-level ridge building over the West Coast and eastward into the
north-central U.S. is expected to lead to widespread well-above average
temperatures across those regions this weekend. Forecast highs Saturday
from California northward into the Pacific Northwest will range in the 80s
to low 90s. The focus for warmer temperatures will shift more into the
Interior West/Great Basin Sunday. While not quite as warm, temperatures
through the northern Rockies into the northern Plains will still be well
above average, with highs in the 70s to low 80s expected. These warmer
temperatures will spread into the Midwest by Sunday. In contrast, cooler,
below average temperatures are expected most elsewhere across the eastern
and central U.S. following the frontal passage. Forecast highs range from
the 50s and 60s in New England and the Mid-Atlantic, the 70s to low 80s
across the Southeast, and 60s and 70s into the Central/Southern Plains.
Areas of south Texas and Florida will remain warmer, with 80s and some 90s
forecast.

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