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Episode Transcript
Available transcripts are automatically generated. Complete accuracy is not guaranteed.
Speaker 1 (00:00):
You are now about to witness the strength of fantasy
knowledge Fantasy Sports Radio Network. You are now tuned into
the Speeds and Spitting Statistician on Fantasy Freestyle. Off next
on that cipher on the microphone. You know that I'm
(00:20):
one of the best yet, Martinez, you know what it is.
It's your point day, Martinez, a k A. Speeds a
k A to Spitting Statistician a k A to Stable
(00:42):
Genius and vocal Minority. And welcome to another edition other
Fantasy Freestyle right here on the Sports Grid Network, episode
number four hundred and nineteen. It is the four hundred
and nineteens convening of the Stats over Beats Cipher, where
we help you win your leagues and win that cash,
all while putting the fun and functional sports content. Yeah,
(01:03):
I know, Monday is a big show, all right, for
a number of reasons. All right, we'll be getting into
the last week of the regular season. It is also
whatever number comes after four nineteen. But I digress. We
got a good show for you as usual. Here's what
we're gonna do. Okay, it's what we usually do, all right.
If you're part of the Stats over Beat Cipher, you
know the routine. Here, we gotta get you ready for
week twelve of the fantasy football season, of the DFS season,
(01:28):
of just the NFL season. So you can find those
inefficiencies and make a little bit of extra case. You
can get like, you know, a big turkey. All right,
that's what we're going for here. We're going for the
big piece of chicken. You know what I'm saying. To
quote my man Chris Rock, shout out if you know
the reference of going there and give me my big
piece of chicken. But I digress. We've got injuries to update,
(01:48):
all right. These are the people. I say it all week.
What you have to do is see which direction they
are trending in. But here's the guys you need to know.
Apparently Mitchell Trabiski is gonna go. He's practicing back in
full alright. So maybe it was just a bruised ego
that happened with his hip, alright, but he's practicing in full.
Whether that's a good thing for the Bears or not,
(02:09):
I'm not too sure, but he'll be out there. Philip
Dorset with ahead, Mohammed Sanu with an ankle. They both
did not practice. Oh and by the way, in case.
You didn't realize Gronk is not coming through that door
any time soon, right, So what does that mean for
this new England offense? We have talked about this new
England offense all season long. Right, Yes, they are not vintage,
(02:32):
but there's still nine in one and there's now buzz
that you know, Mr Antonio Brown could be U back
in the future plans. Remember he apologized to everybody. I
guess they've heard. The NFL has heard the case, so
we'll see what they do about that. Do I trust
the NFL to do anything in a kind of aligned
or reputable or consistent way. No, but in any event,
(02:54):
all right, Um, Tyler Lockett with that crazy contusion right
that forced them to the hospital on Monday. Um, he's
back and limited. He's gonna go all right. So it's
amazing you can go from the hospital to a limited
practice in like three days. But it looks like Tyler
lock it will be okay, listen for me. James Connor
is a big one. Okay, he again did not practice today.
(03:16):
He's got that shoulder. Remember he tried to give it
a go but it wouldn't work and they kind of
pulled him at this point even if he practices tomorrow,
even if he's cleared, I'm worried about him. I'm worried
that he can get banged up in the middle of
a game like we saw and if you are starting him,
you know, then you're gonna be left, you know, holding
the bag. And that's what happened to me in one
(03:37):
of my leagues, starting James Connor. And I think at
some point you gotta just avoid the situation, right Jalen Samuels,
I think is the move or find other options if
you need to. We talked about guys in the waiver wire.
I listen, even if Connor is active, I am very
skeptical of him. It looks like Bobby Woods is back
at practice. He's returned to the team because of the
(03:58):
personal issues he was going through. Don't know what it is,
you know, but he's back with the team. And listen,
if he's back with the team, and it's not an injury, right,
and he wasn't like out of line, He did it
the right way, told his team. It's not like there's
discipline coming for him. There's going a wall. So if
he's back, he gonna play all right. And remember there's
still no Brandon Cooks. Cooper Cup has underperformed the last
(04:19):
few weeks. They're gonna need him on Monday Night against
the Ravens um and he's gonna be going up against
former teammate Marcus Peters in fact. But I do think
that Bobby Woods will be back. And I don't usually
talk about defensive players, but I'm going to again this
week because Marshall and Lattimore is still out and that's
a big one to me. Okay, with Lattimore out, I
(04:39):
think that matters um for the Carolina Panthers and the
Carolina Panthers passing offense. Okay, Uh, Kyle Allen is like
mid process right now, turning back into a pumpkin. But
maybe he can attack them. So I would keep Curtis
Samuel and d J. Moore in those lineups tonight. It
looks like Will Fuller is gonna go. It looks like
t Y Hilton is gonna go. I can understand you
(05:00):
running him back out there. I can understand also if
you want to pause and see what it looks like.
But if you ain't got other options, then run out
t Y. He is still a wide out two in
season long fantasy. Also, the Miles Garrett appeal has been heard,
and you know, the indefinite suspension has been upheld. The
interesting part to me is, oh, now you're talking about
(05:21):
that there was a slur like a week or two later. Bro,
Why don't you say that at the beginning because it
didn't happen. Well, maybe it did, but you know, like,
it's weird to me that he just comes up with this.
Now that's in the narrative. Now that's out there, and
you know the Steelers are like, naa, naa. This puts
the Browns in a bad spot, right, Like do you
ride with Myles Garrett or do you be like, oh,
(05:43):
this is the baker literally when asked like oh, this
is the first time hearing of it, almost throwing his
man under the bus just for that, but hopefully, uh,
this is the end of that story. There are four
teams on By this week, guys, and they are good
teams with fantasy players. Minnesota, Arizona, Kansas City, and the Chargers. Listen.
I just had Eric, the guy who manages Versa, come
(06:06):
in here literally a minute less than a minute before
we went on air, and was like, yo, I got
five flares on by. I got Austin Neckler, Travis Kelsey,
you know Keenan Allen on by what do I do? Yeah, man,
you gotta plan for these things. I gave you Waiver
wire people to add. We'll do more of it coming up.
All right on the other side of the break. Here's
we're gonna do. We look at the home dogs, the
(06:26):
double digit dogs. We talked about Game of Inches, DFS,
Leans and Nuggets. We got Colts and Texans on the horizon.
Your questions as well. Hit me up in the chat room.
Hit me up. We'll open up the phone lines a
little bit later on answer the pole, all that good stuff.
You could be down to the status over beat cipher.
Come on this fantasy freestyle Billy Dilly. NFL season is
(06:48):
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(07:09):
action first head per cent discount. That's perlow code action,
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millionaires are made. But they all on me like they
want a whole hand. These chicks don't even know the
(07:30):
name on my band, but they're all on me like
they want a whole hands. A little Deep twelve bringing
us back a little my band. I love that jam.
Purple pills Um knows another jam. They had the eminema
construct of Deed twelve. But I digress. Episode number four
(07:50):
hundred and nineteen of The Fantasy Freestyle. Jose Torres is
in the chat room Deshaun Watson or Maddie Ice this week,
and I have a question back for you, Jose Torres.
It depends on if sacks are counted in your leagues
as negative points. It depends on your settings, Jose. I
know leagues where quarterbacks get points taken away when they
(08:10):
suffer sacks, and in that scenario, Deshaun Watson got sex
seven times yesterday. I think the lines and the different
strength of both the offensive and defensive line in the
trenches is a big factor in this game tonight. If
you want to know which way I'm leaning there is
a clue, but I'm okay with Ryan. He's got Tampa
Bay that that past defense is blunt, gouts trashed, And
(08:32):
I don't know how effective Watson is gonna be tonight,
we shall see. I gotta slight lean towards Ryan. And
it doesn't pack. It matters about your settings and your
scoring system as well. Jose Zach Um, Zach is in
the chat room. You are correct. Listen, t Y Hilton
historically does very well against Houston. Okay. T Y has
(08:53):
put up big numbers against Houston, right, And so a
lot of people are saying, like, listen, um, if he's
active and healthy, I run him out there accordingly, right,
And that's what I usually say. If you have a
stud and they're active, run him out there. Okay. Might
he be worked in? Might he have limited snaps? Y'alla?
(09:13):
Listen to NFL network or whatever it is right now.
If they say he's on a pitch count, that's one thing,
but I have not heard that. Okay, So if he's
active and out there, you got to assume he's t
Y Hilton. And yes, Zach, you are correct. He Y
has a huge pedigree against the Houston Texans. So I'm
okay with throwing t y out right now in about
an hour. Also, a lot of people are asking about
(09:35):
the cults running back, all right, and listen, I have
said this before. I said it as it related to
Wayne Gallman, Ty Johnson. Uh, there have been others right
where you automatically assume, Bang, this is the guy that's
gonna go in. I gotta tell you something. I'm gonna
say it again later on in the show because I'm
even betting a prop bet for it. Jonathan Williams is
(09:56):
everybody's darling, right, and he was plugging play Info Marlon
Mack with that offensive line. I think the cultural line
is still strong, okay, but you know what wasn't there
last week, Jordan Wilkins. And that to me means that
if you're gonna put all your chips in with Jonathan Williams,
(10:16):
and there's even reports that he's going to start, and
that's fine, okay, But it's the same exact thing as
when I said, Remember I said I bet that Adrian
Peterson under the week Darius Geiss was back right, He's
gonna take some of the volume away, all right. So
if you were now riding with this waiver ad Jonathan
Williams and you think he's gonna be the beast for you.
(10:38):
All I'm saying is that it's a different committee than
it was when he was put in in you know,
mid game, and there was no Marlin mac because of
the hand. All right, Wilkins is there. They have a
week to plan for this, to see how they want
to use nahem Hinz Okay, So I'm throwing cold water
on all of this. Jonathan Williams love, he may be
the guy, but I don't know that he's gonna run
(10:59):
for over a hundred like he did last week. And also, um,
we'll get into the home dogs. But you know, you
know how I always say what I got right, what
I got wrong on a Monday. I gotta go back
to Monday night real quick because I've said it before,
and what you saw Monday night was just more evidence
of this. Father Time is undefeated, and I believe Father
(11:22):
Time is calling for Mr. Rivers. This man has fourteen
interceptions on the season, second in the NFL, second only
to Jamis Winston. In his last sixty games, Philip Rivers,
He's thrown fifty eight interceptions in Eli's last sixty games through.
Remember what we were talking about and Eli Manning as
(11:43):
it related to interceptions and stuff. That's what Philip Rivers
is doing now. There's no zip on his ball. His
motion has always been bad. But you can't be like
this and then still be yelling at the offensive lightning,
still be yelling at the officials. There has been times
this year and Real Deal Stats would be its site
for people know that I have been backing the Charges
for a long time. I still think their roster is
(12:04):
one of the best in all of football. But the
problem maybe at the quarterback position, and it happens real quick.
You saw it happen to Eli. You saw it happen
to Peyton. There have been others who fall off the cliff,
and I kind of believe we're in that right now
with Philip Rivers. You know, like Marcus Mariota could probably
lead this team to the same record. Trod Taylor could
(12:27):
probably lead this team to the same record. So it
might the Chargers be in the market for finally drafting
it look Pittsburgh's drafted kids. The Giants have drafted kids.
Ben and Eli were in the same year, but the
Chargers never planned for the future. Yo it's time, all right.
That's what I gotta say about that. All right, Let's
look at these games going now into week twelve home dogs,
(12:51):
first home dog, and this is where we lean. I'll
tell you which one is a diamond, which one's a
fool crazy, so you can, you know, get a bigger
turkey for next year. That's what I'm for. And by
the way, I'm Spanish. Okay, we got a turkey, and
we have a beetnil. I don't know if y'all know
what benneil is, but yo, it's the bomb, all right.
And then we get that crunchy poteat. People be fighting
over that in my family, alright. So Jilly Dillekins and
(13:14):
friendship bread out. I'm hoarding the cheach out home in
my house, all right, So hopefully you get an extra
bit of cache for the holiday season. I know Yang
down there in the pit of misery knows about the
Beckneil and the cheach out home. You could come on
later and tell me if if they fight over it
in his family. But I digress. The first one, the
Washington football team. They are three and a half point
favorites at home against Detroit, all right, and how bad
(13:37):
is it that you are getting three and a half
points at home against Jeff Driscoll. But that's where we
are right now. And I've said it before. I am
not betting Dwayne Haskins until I see him win. They
couldn't do jack against the Jets, and I will take
the Detroit Lions to go in there. The Detroit Lions
have weapons, all right, Marvin Jones, Kenny Golladay, Golladay and
(14:01):
I kind of think bo can do a little bit
of work both Scarboro. That is, I know Detroit can score.
I've seen them score even with the backup quarterback. Can Washington?
I don't know, so I think Washington is a home
doog gay zy, I'll lay the points and take the Lions.
The Jets are getting three and a half points or
three points now at home against Oakland. This is a
(14:22):
big one, guys. This is I think this one for real. Honestly,
give me the Jets and the points at home. And
I know I'm a Jets fan. Of people gonna be like, yo,
you're a homer, blah blah blah. No, here's why west
coast to East coast matters for a one o'clock game.
The body clocks all that, the Raiders are horrible on
the East Coast at one o'clock historically. All Right. The
second thing the Jets, for all their flaws, they have
(14:45):
the number two ranked run defense in the NFL. The
Jets can stop the run. This is not gonna be
like remember last week I had Josh Jacobs in my
DFS lineup. I said he'd run all over Cincinnati. Well,
that was the worst run defense in the NFL. It's
gonna be different on Sunday. Okay, for Josh Jacobs and
thus I believe car it's gonna be on his arm.
I'm not sure if he's able to do it. Sammy
(15:06):
Donald and these Jets have been good lately, Okay, they've
been better, and I think they're gonna be able to
stop the run. I think give me the Jets at
home with three points. Also, listen, the Raiders are starting
to smell themselves. Okay, they're starting to be like everyone's like, oh,
they're doing such a great job doing the playoffs. I
think this is the trap right here. Okay, so I'd
lay that Cincinnati and Pittsburgh. The Bengals are getting six,
(15:29):
six and a half seven points at home against Pittsburgh.
I passed on this game. I have no FN idea
because I do not know how Pittsburgh is going to
respond after the brawl. I really don't. You're gonna have
no pound C. We know, we don't know if there's Connor,
we don't know if there's Juju Deonte's practicing. There will
be no pound C. Right, this can go one of
(15:49):
two ways. It could be looking ahead to the rematch
with Cleveland. This could be the trap game, or this
could be the like band of brothers right us against
let's show the world kind of things. I'm staying away
from this one. And then the other one is the
Rams getting three or three and a half points at
home against Baltimore on Monday night. I think I'm gonna
fade the streak of Baltimore. Everyone loves Baltimore. I think
(16:12):
this is different because also east to west in a
night game is a real thing. The Rams are getting
a little bit healthier. I just gotta feel, and this
is the home team. I like the Rams here in
this one. If I'm getting more than a field goal,
Let's see what the Ravens can do, if they can
really run this gauntlet that is out in front of them.
So I will take Detroit, I will take the Jets,
(16:32):
and I will take the Rams. So to me, the
Jets and the Rams of the home dog Diamonds, and
the Washington football team is a home dog gazy someone
you still even with the points, even at home, you
need to forget about all right. On the other side
of the break, here's what we're gonna do. Okay, we
got some bangers today, Danny refreshing the playlist. That's what
(16:54):
I like to hear. But we got on the other
side of the break, we'll talk Game of Inches. I've
seen some recent submissions also, I Voodoo and others. And
then we'll get into some DFS leans here in our
next segment. Before we talk about Thursday Night football, it
should boy to spitting Statistician episode four nineteen of The
Status of a Beat Cipher Dilly Dilly to the crew.
Come on back heard. NFL season is now upon us.
(17:18):
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(17:39):
And that's promo Code Action, first hend percent discount. Dailey
Order dot Com where millionaires are made. Yeah, there's a
war going on out side. No man is safe from.
(18:01):
Yeah that's a little mob deep. I don't know about
that little prodigy. Yeah, that's the real deal. Status over
beat cipher You. We try and do what we try
and do. I got some guys in the chat room,
Dexter is asking me. I'll go with Jalen Samuels and
Josh Jacobs as the two there. Caesar is in there, listen.
I know Baker is doing this thing, but I think
(18:22):
remember they're playing Cincinnati. I do believe right, they're playing Miami.
They're playing some dreg team. I think they're gonna run
the ball a little bit more to me. For Cleveland,
it's gonna be a Nick Chubb game, not a Baker
Mayfield kind of game. So for that, Caesar, I'm gonna
go to Deshaun Watson on that. My man Jose knows
about that. Cheat out home. That's right, yo, yo, we'd
be fighting over that, you know. Even what I'll do
(18:44):
is I'll roll up to my grandma like when she's
still cooking, because she's got a little plate of it
on the side, and I'll pick at it. You know
what it is? Um and men? Though, yes, we're about
to get into game of inches, all right, but I
don't I don't need to know about you know, all
your other derivatives of game of inches. You you call
it like game of yards though, bro, But I digress.
That's enough. I also gotta let you guys know check
(19:05):
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That is where millionaires are made, all right. As you
guys know, here we do a little game of inches, Mendo,
I don't need to hear of it, game of game
of yards, game of Miles bro, that game of light Years.
(19:50):
You know what I'm saying. But um and big shot
out of course the Derek Vosion of and to Mike
Voodoo and some others who sent me their kind of
Game of Inches nominees, but I didn't get it in time. Alright.
The best thing to do is send it to me
like on a on a Monday or Tuesday when it's finalize,
so that I can get it to the guys down
in the pit and we can put it up just
like number two, Danny, number two that we want to
(20:12):
put up. I said this one on Monday. Bang, there's
Ventra again. Danny Ventra banged out on the Seattle San
Francisco Monday night football game with the kicker on the
last play of the game. And then the very next week,
just so you guys know, where's Antonio. That's the closer,
Chris Venture. This is our Pit of Misery League, the
staff League. Jim never gonna pay that is Jim Day
(20:35):
Fantasy tazz. And so this was like a you know,
a frenzy goon squad uh black on black crime kind
of thing right here, and Jim snuck it out Game
of Inches. But here's what I'll say, Danny Ventra started
O J Howard and he got squaw douche out of him.
Jim Dad beat him even with Connor getting banged out
(20:57):
in the middle of the game, right, only getting two
points out of Connor. Trust me, I know I had
Connor in a lot of lineup. So yeah, I know
you didn't as well, Danny. Trust me, I know I
answer your questions on Sunday morning. I know your entire lineup.
Brother man um, So what do you think about this one?
I think it's just bad because, like, yo, if you're
Venture now right, like Game of Inches back to back weeks,
(21:18):
that's rough. Danny. Yeah, this is painful for Venture. I
I mean, I don't want to say I feel bad
for Venture. We don't feel bad because but I love
you closer. But but but yeah, I mean this is
I was just like, that's that's just bad. It really is,
all right, And here's the thing, Danny, I'm about to
(21:40):
put up another one, and guess what it is, someone
who it's the second time this year we're putting up
their game of inches. Okay, true, real deal stats over
beat Cipher. Remember, like, it gets no realer than this.
If you had to name four people on the stats
over beat Cipher, you would name this person for a
second time in the season. Danny put up perry Ing
(22:03):
this week again. Oh man, Danny, point to Danny, point
to point too. Now here's the thing for me, though
the opponent was starting Derrick Henry on there bye week,
you know what I mean. So for me, yeah, you
only lost by two perry Ing, but just should have
(22:26):
lost by more. You know what I mean, because someone
who managed their team appropriate Lea, he would have had
someone in that running back spot, so I wouldn't be
just a point to and it would look like you
lost by eleven or something like that, you know what
I mean, Danny. Yeah, But here's the thing ahead. He
can't beat himself. So it's like this is just like
it sucks free free money. And here's the other thing.
(22:48):
And here's the other thing about why this one for
Perrying is certainly not like what week three happened. When
Perry got banged down on the bear sack at the
amount of the day Night Football. Because Perry has the
damn four the Niners defense, and the Niners defense got
that fumble in that touchdown on the last play of
the game. You're lucky to get an extra whatever it was.
I think it was like eight points that you got.
(23:10):
So those eight points made it look like you lost
by point too. And then Henry didn't play, you know
what I mean. So this is not the same as
Week three for Perry Yang, you know, Danny, I mean,
I feel bad that he didn't get that extra Yeah,
trust me, Yeah, I feel bad. It sucks. I'm sorry,
but there have been other game of inches that have
(23:33):
been a little bit closer. I will say this though, Danny.
The fact that Perry Ing now has this twice and
our boy Chris Ventra, you know the clothes with Jimmy
g He's got it twice. That's big. I'll tell you
what Perrying from week three, Zack from week six, Greg
from week seven, and the other one from Ventra in
week ten with the Jason Myers field goal. If any
(23:56):
of you in two weeks miss your playoffs by one game,
please show me the final standings. If this game of
inches was the difference of you going like, you know,
seven and six verse six and seven, and that was
the difference in the playoffs. I want to know, because
we'll go out there and we'll we'll send you a
present or something like that. All right, Um, so let's
turn our attention, Danny to a little bit of DFS stuff.
(24:18):
All right, I got some DFS nuggets. So the first
thing we do, okay, and this is me, guys, I'm
trying to teach you how to fish. Remember, not just
giving you a fish. I teach you how to fish.
And so when I'm looking at DFS, the first thing
I do is I look at the high total games.
I look at games with a total at forty nine
or above, or they're up in the fifties. Tampa Bay
(24:39):
in Atlanta fit that description this week, Tampa Bay in Atlanta.
That's why I also remembering the question. It was like
Matt Ryan or Deshaun Watson, and I went, Matt Ryan, Right,
this game Tampa Atlanta has a total of fifty one.
I'm looking to find some you know, goodness in that
one first. And I don't gotta look long, Okay, because
(25:00):
to the man's point that was asking me before. Who
was before that was asking me Matt Ryan or someone else?
I believe it was jose It was jose Um. Not
only would I pick Matt Ryan there, but Matt Ryan
is my DFS quarterback this week. People at Sevred, I
like Matt Ryan. Also, remember I love the fact that
(25:22):
he's facing the thirty first ranks passing defense. The other thing, though,
the Bucks have a good run defense, their second in
the league against the run, thirty one in the league
against the pass Brian Hill, DeVante Freeman. I don't care
who it is. How do you think this is gonna
go down. I think it's gonna go down via the
passing game and Matt Ryan. Listen, last week against Carolina,
(25:44):
he threw for three eleven. Remember he was out in
between there for a little while. I think he gets
back to going. This is one of these volume throwers.
This is a guy who has plenty of passing yards.
I'm gonna spend and I'm gonna get Matt Ryan in
my quarterback spot. Oh you want me to stack him
with someone? Mm hmm, sure, give me Julio Jones as
(26:05):
my high price wide out. This week to stack it
around with Matt Ryan Uh at eight four hundred. Need
I say more? I just said that. Listen, they're thirty
feet against the pass. In general, they are thirty second
last in the league against the wide receiver position. So
there's a stack for you, and I will in fact
pay up because a lot of these other guys I'm
taking this week. Not a lot, okay, not not that
(26:26):
expensive at the running back position. Give me Jalen Samuels,
he's at I told you about James Conner. I don't
care if he's active. Give me Jalen Samuel's. All right,
this is against Cincinnati. What is Cincinnati the worst run
defense in the NFL. I've said it before. I said
it last week when it was Josh Jacobs. I'll say
it this week again. Give me the running back facing Cincinnati. Okay,
(26:49):
it's happened weekend week out. I'll take Samuel's. I don't
trust Connor at an their price. Accordingly, another running back
I like this week. Give me Leonard for Nette this
week at seven thousand. The team has come out and
said Maron has come out and said we need to
get Leonard four Nette more involved. Okay, I'll try and
find the exact quote. Uh Maron said last week when
(27:11):
he went eight quote, that was my mistake. That was
a big mistake by me. That's on me as a
head coach. We need to be more balanced moving forward.
All right, and listen, Tennessee middle of the road defense,
middle twelve, middle ten of the NFL. I think they're
gonna feed four net. This is kind of a division matchup.
I think they are going to feed him at seven thousand.
(27:33):
I like his value. I'm gonna go back to Darius
Guys as well. Match up play for me. Okay, Darius guys. Listen,
who's the worst run defense? Um, I've been saying some
of them. The Detroit Lions are bottom ten run defense
as well. So I like guys. I like Samuels, I
like Big Leonard as far as uh some running backs
at the wide receiver position. I gave you Julio already.
(27:56):
I'm telling you I like DeVante Parker. DeVante Parker has
been very good recently. He really has. Without Preston Williams, right,
they can't. They don't. Caitlin Blage is a volume play.
They don't have a run game. They're gonna be down
in my opinion, they're gonna need to sling it. DeVante
Parker has ten targets each of his last two games,
(28:19):
including last week, him going seven for one thirty five
at only six thousand dollars. I think Devanta Parker represents value.
I don't care if Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams are there.
It's an opportunity, volume play and another wide receiver that
I absolutely love this week, and they're facing the seven
ranked pass defense and they're the apple of the quarterbacks.
(28:39):
I give me Jamison Crowder again with Sammy d back
in their eight targets last week. This is a guy
who continues to be targeted by Sam Donald. Remember the
week one of the season. He has also scored a
touchdown in three straight games. I think he can do
it again this week. Give me Parker Crowder and who
(29:00):
Leo Jones. When we come back on the other side
of the break, I'll give you a tight end play.
I'll give you some defenses to play, and then we
will turn our attention to the stats. Overbeat Cipher and
Thursday Night Football. Danny open up the phone lines as well.
The number of call is eight four four eight four
three six eight seven nine eight four four eight four
three six eight seven nine. If you want to talk
(29:21):
to the spitting statistician, we got time for a couple
of phone calls as well. All Right, we finish up
the DFS love, We look at the stats over beats League,
we look at Thursday Night Football, and we help you
when your leagues and when net cash. It's Fantasy Freestyle
episode four nineteen. If someone wants to give me some
extra cheach out home, I'll take. NFL season is now
(29:42):
alp hada, so you can be on the eighth person
to win one million dollars in a fandueler Draft Kings tournament.
My sator lineup using the Daily Order dot Com DFS
line of optimizer. If you're playing Daily Fantasy Sports and
not using Daily Order dot Com, you sign it now
for the NFL Access with a master optimizers, r DFS
projections and better results into permal good Action first hender
(30:04):
cent discount, because that's perlal good action, first hendver cent
discomp dot com where millionaires are made. Is this for
all those Steelers fans that are asked me about Jaylen
Samuels that black and yellow, black and yellow. I also
(30:27):
got to tell somebody when I step up in the
place that yo I stepped correct? WHOA We got you
all in check with the stats overbeat Cipher episode four
hundred and nineteen, Jeremy McMahon was asking me Davante Parker
or Jalen Samuel's because it's PPR, I'd go Samuel's. Remember
Samuels caught like thirteen balls, right, but that's only if
(30:47):
there's no uh, James Conner, Jeremy and then Henry Henry
Henderson asked me a lot of people, a lot of
running backs. I'll go Darius guys of those, and then
of course, uh My man row John over there, who's
in the chat room A bunch is also saying, uh,
I can say whatever I want? Why not drink? Also,
you darn right, um, our fearless leader Mike Cardano knows
(31:12):
that I'm doing what I do. Uh. They actually told
me once that all I needed to do is just
not have the bottle. They're because it's branding, right, and
you know, if Corona wants to sponsor me or something
like that, it's all good. But otherwise we just gotta, like,
you know, we gotta make them pay for that. You
know what I'm saying, um, so I just do it.
I just do it. Uh. That's that's how it goes down,
(31:32):
all right. But in any event, I also wanted to
tell you remember how in DFS I say, the first
thing I look at is the high totals. Same thing
for defenses. People, Denver Buffalo is at thirty seven and
a half. I'm cool with either of those defenses, right,
Giants Bears thirty nine and a half. Um, the Giants
is an interesting value because I'm just fading Mitchell Drabinski,
to be quite honest, Steelers Bengals at only thirty eight
(31:55):
and a half. Ryan Finley still has a lot of
work to do. Those are good defenses as well. Um
So there you have it. And then when it comes
to the tight end position, Listen, you've got a lot
of people on by this week. Right, you got no Henry,
you got no Kelsey, You've got some others that are
playing like tonight or on Sunday night. So the tight
end position is hard. I'm gonna pay up, and I'm
(32:15):
gonna take Darren Waller, uh this week because Hooper, you
don't know about Ingram, you don't know about these guys
are out or whatever. You know, so I'm gonna pay up,
and I'll pay off for Darren Waller. I know the
Jets are fine as a as a as a kind
of a They're great as a rutting defense, not so
much as the passing defense. So remember when I say
it's on the arm of Derek Carr, I do believe that.
(32:36):
And the biggest kind of weapon he's had all years,
Darren Waller. So I'll pay the six for Darren Waller.
All right, Um, where should we go next? You know,
I want to talk about the cipher real quick, and
how much I love the cipher. Y'all know that already,
But um, the fact that the cipher is now showing
love to each other is absolutely incredible, ridiculous. It warms
(32:59):
my heart. It's Almo like it's friends giving every Monday
and Thursday from seven ap m Eastern. Danny put up
the picture of Jilly Dilley that one thank you. So
Julie Dilley has sent friendship bread now to about like
three dozen people. She's over there bacon left and right.
This is to uh my man Danny Lee from the
(33:21):
undisclosed location, thanking him for his service. You can take
it off. Thank you, Danny Um. But remember whether I
got Henry Henderson, remember his wife Jennifer Henderson now active
in the chat room, Danny Lee's daughter active, you know,
bouncing a baby shark. Henry Henderson asked me recently on Patreon,
and by the way, check me out out there if
you want to be real deal status of a bead cipher.
(33:42):
He asked me, like what shirt size I am? You know,
And I know Julie Dilley has sent me stuff before,
and you know, we appreciate that it is the holiday season,
but that's and I hope you guys know this by
now though though I don't do that. I don't do
all this for presents, all right, because I hope you
guys know this is a real community and I appreciate
all of you. I'm a size large, you know. But hey,
so whatever it is, let's look at it though, Danny m.
(34:06):
First of all, we got a spotlight matchup this week
in the stats over Beast League, and for me it
is Danny Lee and the undisclosed location. Danny up against
young Cas who took you out last week. Remember how
that was kind of like a playoff eliminator matchup, and
so he kind of is still there, but now undisclosed
location is six and five. He faces the Wizard of Cause,
(34:30):
who is also six and five. That is a huge matchup, Danny,
and right now, at least the Wizard of Cause is
favorite to beat our boy, Danny Lee in the Service
our Air Force Firefighter by about nine or ten points.
But as you know, you can't worry about the projections
because you know the projections wouldn't have had me beating
(34:50):
Jillie Dillio last week. So, Danny, what do you think
about this one? Wizard of Cause and undisclosed location. That's
a big matchup, six and five teams battling for playoff spots. Yeah,
this is gonna be interesting. I've been beaten by both teams, right, right, right,
all right, so it's a tough one, right, it's a
tough one. Um. I also want to say that I
play the PayPal Steelers. All right. The PayPal Steelers are
(35:12):
in playoff position. Okay, they're in they're in fifth place.
I need to bang them out the same way I
spoiled Jilly Dilley. Right, I need to do the same
thing with the PayPal Steelers, and maybe you could be
the benefit. Danny if I beat these people, maybe you
can then sneak into the playoff spot. You know what
I'm saying. I mean that would be nice. I did
say phrasing in your ear, but that would be really
really nice if you can beat thefore me and help
(35:33):
me get in the playoff. What do you mean phrasing
you bang them out? Yeah? Whatever, you know, that's how
we do it. You know that means spending statistician baby better.
In any event, we got some phone calls to get to.
All right, so before we get into before we get
into uh, Thursday Night football, my man Jared has just
come in. We're gonna be holding it down on in
(35:54):
Game Live. He's gonna get advanced notice on my prop
bets and things like that. But we got a couple
of callers I want to get to. First up, Terry
in the Jersey Shore. What's going on, Terry? How can
we help you in week twelve? Help you win your
leagues and win that cash? What's going on? Terry? I
have a non PPR okay uh le bonus? Did I
(36:16):
start will Fullward tonight? I don't know if he's a
decoy or do I try to see debot Samuel Debo answers.
The answer is Deebo Samuel. The answer is Deebo Samuel
for me, Will Fuller, Yeah, he may be back. I
don't know if he's gonna be active. We're more of
a decoy right and it's non PPR either, Deebo. Especially listen,
(36:37):
the forty Niners are a damn mash unit right now.
We don't know about Kittle, we don't know about Mannie Sanders.
Deebo Samuel has been the beneficiary of that terry. For me,
I feel strongly about this one. It's Deebo over. Will
Fuller call me back next week and let me know
how it went. All right? Oh, thank you so much. Absolutely,
you know how it is. Next up, we go to
(36:58):
Jose and TAAs. Jose was going down uh down there
in Texas. How can we help you win your leagues
and win that cash? Brother, Yes, hurt, thank you for
taking my call. I have a two quick questions. Quick questions.
I have Curtis Samuel or Will Fuller for for week
(37:18):
number twelve. Yeah, I like Curtis Samuel, those two. It'll
be Curtis Samuel, Okay, I like Curtis Samuel. Remember I also, Yeah,
Curtis Samuel. I also told you for the Saints, they
have one of they have one of the best cornerbacks
in the league. Okay, Jose. His name is Marshall and
Lattimore and he ain't playing all right, so that helps.
That helps the Carolina pass offense. I know Kyle Allen
(37:39):
has sort of turned into a pumpkin a little bit lately,
but I'm comfortable firing up DJ More or Curtis Samuel.
I know Fuller's back in and he might go for
a big bomb tonight, but I'm not gonna bet on it.
I would go with Curtis Samuel. Jose. What's your other question? Okay?
And now the quick list out of out of these
(37:59):
two and Golden Tate, Christian Kirk or Robert Woods in
the standard League for the rest of the season for
the rest of the season, do you think. And it's
a standard league because that's important because if it was PPR,
I'd be all about Golden Tate. Okay, but it's a
it's the rest of the season because you know the
Cardinals are on by this week, I do believe, right,
(38:19):
So there's no Christian Kirk this week. Okay, So the
answer is not Kirk for this week rest of season.
That's really close. Honestly, Hey, Jared Golden Tate or Christian
Kirk rest of the season, it's pretty close, right, that's
pretty close. Yeah, what I would do, honestly, Here's here's
what I'm gonna say. I believe that Kyler Murray is ascending.
(38:42):
I believe that offense is getting better and better, whereas
it's not like the Giants offense is not. But here's
what I do know about the Giants offense for the future.
I know that Sterling Shepherd is coming back. I know
that Evan Ingram is going to come back. I know
that se Kwon Barkley is rounding back into form after
the high ankles brain. So I think takes piece of
the pie may get smaller at the end of the season,
(39:05):
Whereas I like Christian Kirk in that offensive sending. So
for those reasons, Alien Christian Kirk rest of the season.
Thanks for the call. Jose called me back any time. Uh.
You know, with the spin statistician of you win your
leagues and win they're cash part of the cipher the
last call for us and if your real deal stats
over beat cipher, you probably know who it is Connor
and Tampo. What's going on? Brother? Man? You know what? Man?
(39:27):
How you doing? I'm doing for you? I said? But yeah, whatever,
I won my freaking on my won my two points
last week because I Austin next Gordon, I want two
points the last all right? I like that kind of
Remember our game of inches are when we lose, not
(39:49):
when we win by the crazy Yeah you do? You
like the humble brag? But real quick, what you got
because I gotta get to my Thursday night football thoughts
here people want to win of money? So what you got?
So I gotta a three D three for you for
tonight for the show down? Play so um right now?
Originally right now? My lineup originally is who the captain
with d Hop? Grissette, Jonathan Williams, Jack Dwell and Kymie
(40:12):
bear Band. Would you want to play d Hop? Would
you to play captain? Was Shawn Watson and Will Fuller?
Or keep the t Y Hill was with Jacobe That's interesting?
Who was in the captain seat? Uh? T Y or
d Hop? That's interesting? And here's my thing. T Y
will be lower owned. In my opinion, I think everyone's
gonna be on d Hop right I think a lot
of people will be on d hop And here's the thing,
(40:34):
and I'm gonna tell you Connor, and thanks for the
call as always. All right. Now, I don't know if
t Y is gonna pop, okay, but he has had
big as games against the Texans before, and I think
because he'll be lower owned, if he does go seven
for one and two touchdowns, it will be better for you.
I would lean t Y in the captain seat. It's
(40:55):
more of a boom er bus risk reward play, but
the reward could be better because I think kill be
lower owned. So my answer is t Y and has
always Connor. Thanks for the call, Danny. I gotta talk
about Thursday night football here, okay, And I'm just gonna
repeat this to Jared Smith and about oh, I don't know,
fifteen minutes or so. So here's what I'll say. This
is a tough game for me to call it really
(41:15):
is it really is. This is a tough game, alright,
big battle for a f c UH South supremacy. Here's
what I'll also tell you. If you remember, remember how
I've been railing against Adam Vinitarry, one of the things
I told you is that before last week. Every single
Colts game the rest of the season was decided by
seven points or less. The Colts play tight games. I
(41:39):
don't think that changes in a division matchup. Okay, I
like I have a slight lean towards the Colts plus
three and a half or plus three, and the reason
for me will be because of the trenches. I think
Indianapolis is much better upfront. Their offensive line is better.
That's why you can plug and play running backs, right.
But I also think their defensive line is better than
(41:59):
that Texans offensive line. And Deshaun Watson, I think is
gonna get sacked. Oh, I don't know, Jared what five times,
six times maybe? And I think that is going to
be the difference. Okay for me. When the chips are
down on the table, the Colts offensive line will move people.
Whether it's Wilkins, Williams, Hines, I don't give a damn
who it is. I think the Colts offensive line, and
(42:22):
I think the lack of skill on the Texans offensive line,
Jeremy Tunsil with his gas mask. I don't care who
they drafted. It don't matter, I think, and it's not sexy.
People don't think about this. This game will be one
in the trenches, and I think Indie has that better.
I have a slight lean towards Indie and I'll take
three or three and a half points in a close game.
As for prop bets, a lot of people Jonathan Williams
(42:44):
is the only cult running back that has a prop bet,
and I think that's a foo gazzy way of looking
at it. His number is forty six and a half.
I know the report that he's gonna be the starter.
I don't give a damn all right, Jordan Wilkins will
get carries, not him. Hies will get touches for me,
I don't. I think this number is inflated because people think, oh,
(43:06):
it's Jonathan Williams and saw him last week. People forget
that Wilkins is there. So I'm under forty six and
a half for Jonathan Williams rushing yards. And also I
think the culture gonna be throwing Brissette over two hundred
and thirty three passing yards over thirty and a half attempts. Okay,
the Texans of twenty six against the quarterback, they allow
(43:27):
a hundred and eight point four rating in the red zone.
Prisette over on the touchdowns I like the Brissette, but listen,
you can't fade d Hop too much. Right The d
hop longest reception right now is that twenty and a half.
I think he gets one. Okay, I think they sling
it deep and I think he gets one. So give
me over d Hop on the longest reception, Brissette over
(43:47):
yards and attempts and under Jonathan Williams slight lean plus
three and a half to the Indianapolis Colts. I'll see
y'all next week, but we're talking about Lucky Week thirteen,
your last chance to get into the fantasy playoffs. Oh
my goodness. I hope you guys win your leagues and
win that cash. We'll be talking about it. Meet tomorrow morning,
Sunday morning. You know what it is. NFL season is
(44:12):
now upon us, so you can become the eighth person
a wain one million dollars in a fandueler Draft Kings tournament.
My setting their lineup using the Daily Order dot Com
DFS line of optimizer. If you're playing daily Fantasy sports
and not using Daily Order dot Com, you're doing it wrong.
Sign up now for the NFL Access with a faster optimizer,
smarter DFS projections and better results. It's a promo code
(44:33):
action first hen per cent discount. And that's promo code
action first hend per cent discount. Daily Order dot com
where millionaires are made. What you missed on the fitnessy freestyle,
we're gonna do. Okay, that's what we usually do, all right.
(44:53):
If you're part of the SATs over Beat cipher, you
know the routine. Here, we gotta get you ready for
week twelve of the fantasy football season, of the DFS season,
of just the NFL season, so you can find those
inefficiencies and make a little bit of extra case. She
can get like, you know, a big turkey. All right,
that's what we're going for here. We're going for a
big piece of chicken. You know what I'm saying. To
quote my man Chris Rock, shout out if you know
(45:15):
the reference of going there and give me my big
piece of chicken. But I digress. We've got injuries to update,
all right. These are the people I say it all week.
What you have to do is see which direction they
are trending in. But here's the guys you need to know.
Apparently Mitchell Trobiski is gonna go He's practicing back in
full alright, So maybe it was just a bruised ego
that happened with his hip, all right, but he's practicing
(45:37):
in full. Whether that's a good thing for the Bears
or not, I'm not too sure, but he'll be out there.
Philip Dorset with ahead, Mohammed Sunu with an ankle, they
both did not practice. Oh and by the way, in
case you didn't realize, Gronk is not coming through that
door anytime soon. Right, So what does that mean for
this new England offense? We have talked about this new
England offense all season long. Right, Yes they are vintage,
(46:01):
but there's still nine in one and there's now buzz
that you know, Mr Antonio Brown could be back in
the future plans. Remember he apologized to everybody. I guess
they've heard. The NFL has heard the case, so we'll
see what they do about that. Do I trust the
NFL to do anything in a kind of aligned or
reputable or consistent way. No, But in any event, all right, Um,
(46:22):
Tyler Lockett with that crazy contusion right that forced him
to the hospital on Monday, Um, he's back then, limited
he's gonna go all right, So it's amazing. You can
go from the hospital to a limited practice in like
three days. But it looks like Tyler Locke it will
be okay. Listen for me. James Conner is a big one. Okay.
He again did not practice today. He's got that shoulder.
Remember he tried to give it a go, but it
(46:43):
wouldn't work and they kind of pulled him at this point.
Even if he practices tomorrow, even if he's cleared, I'm
worried about him. I'm worried that he can get banged
up in the middle of a game like we saw
and if you are starting him, you know, then you're
gonna be left, you know, holding the bag. And that's
what happened to me and one of I leagues starting
James Conner, and I think at some point you gotta
(47:03):
just avoid the situation, right Jalen Samuels, I think is
the move or find other options if you need to.
We talked about guys in the waiver wire. I listen.
Even if Connor is active, I am very skeptical of him.
It looks like Bobby Woods is back at practice. He's
returned to the team because of the personal issues he
was going through. I don't know what it is, you know,
but he's back with the team. And listen, if he's
(47:24):
back with the team and it's not an injury, right
and he wasn't like out a line. He did it
the right way, told his team it's not like the
discipline coming for him, just go on a wall. So
if he's back, he gonna play. Be sure to follow
all our social media at evan t s Y sports
Net and at ev and t s Y Radio And
now I'm tweeting about you, Bra,
You are now about to witness the strength of fantasy
knowledge Fantasy Sports Radio Network. You are now tuned into
the Speeds and Spitting Statistician on Fantasy Freestyle. Off next
on that cipher on the microphone. You know that I'm
(00:20):
one of the best yet, Martinez, you know what it is.
It's your point day, Martinez, a k A. Speeds a
k A to Spitting Statistician a k A to Stable
(00:42):
Genius and vocal Minority. And welcome to another edition other
Fantasy Freestyle right here on the Sports Grid Network, episode
number four hundred and nineteen. It is the four hundred
and nineteens convening of the Stats over Beats Cipher, where
we help you win your leagues and win that cash,
all while putting the fun and functional sports content. Yeah,
(01:03):
I know, Monday is a big show, all right, for
a number of reasons. All right, we'll be getting into
the last week of the regular season. It is also
whatever number comes after four nineteen. But I digress. We
got a good show for you as usual. Here's what
we're gonna do. Okay, it's what we usually do, all right.
If you're part of the Stats over Beat Cipher, you
know the routine. Here, we gotta get you ready for
week twelve of the fantasy football season, of the DFS season,
(01:28):
of just the NFL season. So you can find those
inefficiencies and make a little bit of extra case. You
can get like, you know, a big turkey. All right,
that's what we're going for here. We're going for the
big piece of chicken. You know what I'm saying. To
quote my man Chris Rock, shout out if you know
the reference of going there and give me my big
piece of chicken. But I digress. We've got injuries to update,
(01:48):
all right. These are the people. I say it all week.
What you have to do is see which direction they
are trending in. But here's the guys you need to know.
Apparently Mitchell Trabiski is gonna go. He's practicing back in
full alright. So maybe it was just a bruised ego
that happened with his hip, alright, but he's practicing in full.
Whether that's a good thing for the Bears or not,
(02:09):
I'm not too sure, but he'll be out there. Philip
Dorset with ahead, Mohammed Sanu with an ankle. They both
did not practice. Oh and by the way, in case.
You didn't realize Gronk is not coming through that door
any time soon, right, So what does that mean for
this new England offense? We have talked about this new
England offense all season long. Right, Yes, they are not vintage,
(02:32):
but there's still nine in one and there's now buzz
that you know, Mr Antonio Brown could be U back
in the future plans. Remember he apologized to everybody. I
guess they've heard. The NFL has heard the case, so
we'll see what they do about that. Do I trust
the NFL to do anything in a kind of aligned
or reputable or consistent way. No, but in any event,
(02:54):
all right, Um, Tyler Lockett with that crazy contusion right
that forced them to the hospital on Monday. Um, he's
back and limited. He's gonna go all right. So it's
amazing you can go from the hospital to a limited
practice in like three days. But it looks like Tyler
lock it will be okay, listen for me. James Connor
is a big one. Okay, he again did not practice today.
(03:16):
He's got that shoulder. Remember he tried to give it
a go but it wouldn't work and they kind of
pulled him at this point even if he practices tomorrow,
even if he's cleared, I'm worried about him. I'm worried
that he can get banged up in the middle of
a game like we saw and if you are starting him,
you know, then you're gonna be left, you know, holding
the bag. And that's what happened to me in one
(03:37):
of my leagues, starting James Connor. And I think at
some point you gotta just avoid the situation, right Jalen Samuels,
I think is the move or find other options if
you need to. We talked about guys in the waiver wire.
I listen, even if Connor is active, I am very
skeptical of him. It looks like Bobby Woods is back
at practice. He's returned to the team because of the
(03:58):
personal issues he was going through. Don't know what it is,
you know, but he's back with the team. And listen,
if he's back with the team, and it's not an injury, right,
and he wasn't like out of line, He did it
the right way, told his team. It's not like there's
discipline coming for him. There's going a wall. So if
he's back, he gonna play all right. And remember there's
still no Brandon Cooks. Cooper Cup has underperformed the last
(04:19):
few weeks. They're gonna need him on Monday Night against
the Ravens um and he's gonna be going up against
former teammate Marcus Peters in fact. But I do think
that Bobby Woods will be back. And I don't usually
talk about defensive players, but I'm going to again this
week because Marshall and Lattimore is still out and that's
a big one to me. Okay, with Lattimore out, I
(04:39):
think that matters um for the Carolina Panthers and the
Carolina Panthers passing offense. Okay, Uh, Kyle Allen is like
mid process right now, turning back into a pumpkin. But
maybe he can attack them. So I would keep Curtis
Samuel and d J. Moore in those lineups tonight. It
looks like Will Fuller is gonna go. It looks like
t Y Hilton is gonna go. I can understand you
(05:00):
running him back out there. I can understand also if
you want to pause and see what it looks like.
But if you ain't got other options, then run out
t Y. He is still a wide out two in
season long fantasy. Also, the Miles Garrett appeal has been heard,
and you know, the indefinite suspension has been upheld. The
interesting part to me is, oh, now you're talking about
(05:21):
that there was a slur like a week or two later. Bro,
Why don't you say that at the beginning because it
didn't happen. Well, maybe it did, but you know, like,
it's weird to me that he just comes up with this.
Now that's in the narrative. Now that's out there, and
you know the Steelers are like, naa, naa. This puts
the Browns in a bad spot, right, Like do you
ride with Myles Garrett or do you be like, oh,
(05:43):
this is the baker literally when asked like oh, this
is the first time hearing of it, almost throwing his
man under the bus just for that, but hopefully, uh,
this is the end of that story. There are four
teams on By this week, guys, and they are good
teams with fantasy players. Minnesota, Arizona, Kansas City, and the Chargers. Listen.
I just had Eric, the guy who manages Versa, come
(06:06):
in here literally a minute less than a minute before
we went on air, and was like, yo, I got
five flares on by. I got Austin Neckler, Travis Kelsey,
you know Keenan Allen on by what do I do? Yeah, man,
you gotta plan for these things. I gave you Waiver
wire people to add. We'll do more of it coming up.
All right on the other side of the break. Here's
we're gonna do. We look at the home dogs, the
(06:26):
double digit dogs. We talked about Game of Inches, DFS,
Leans and Nuggets. We got Colts and Texans on the horizon.
Your questions as well. Hit me up in the chat room.
Hit me up. We'll open up the phone lines a
little bit later on answer the pole, all that good stuff.
You could be down to the status over beat cipher.
Come on this fantasy freestyle Billy Dilly. NFL season is
(06:48):
an ALTNA, so you can be onna the eighth person
to win one million dollars in a fandueler Draft King's Tournament.
My senior lineup eusing the daily Er dot Com DFS
line of utilizer. If you were playing Dailey Fantasy Sports
and not using Daily Order dot Com, you're doing They're
all sign him down for the NFL Access with a
faster optimizer, smarter DFS projections, and better results into Prolocode
(07:09):
action first head per cent discount. That's perlow code action,
first head per cent discount, dailor order dot com where
millionaires are made. But they all on me like they
want a whole hand. These chicks don't even know the
(07:30):
name on my band, but they're all on me like
they want a whole hands. A little Deep twelve bringing
us back a little my band. I love that jam.
Purple pills Um knows another jam. They had the eminema
construct of Deed twelve. But I digress. Episode number four
(07:50):
hundred and nineteen of The Fantasy Freestyle. Jose Torres is
in the chat room Deshaun Watson or Maddie Ice this week,
and I have a question back for you, Jose Torres.
It depends on if sacks are counted in your leagues
as negative points. It depends on your settings, Jose. I
know leagues where quarterbacks get points taken away when they
(08:10):
suffer sacks, and in that scenario, Deshaun Watson got sex
seven times yesterday. I think the lines and the different
strength of both the offensive and defensive line in the
trenches is a big factor in this game tonight. If
you want to know which way I'm leaning there is
a clue, but I'm okay with Ryan. He's got Tampa
Bay that that past defense is blunt, gouts trashed, And
(08:32):
I don't know how effective Watson is gonna be tonight,
we shall see. I gotta slight lean towards Ryan. And
it doesn't pack. It matters about your settings and your
scoring system as well. Jose Zach Um, Zach is in
the chat room. You are correct. Listen, t Y Hilton
historically does very well against Houston. Okay. T Y has
(08:53):
put up big numbers against Houston, right, And so a
lot of people are saying, like, listen, um, if he's
active and healthy, I run him out there accordingly, right,
And that's what I usually say. If you have a
stud and they're active, run him out there. Okay. Might
he be worked in? Might he have limited snaps? Y'alla?
(09:13):
Listen to NFL network or whatever it is right now.
If they say he's on a pitch count, that's one thing,
but I have not heard that. Okay, So if he's
active and out there, you got to assume he's t
Y Hilton. And yes, Zach, you are correct. He Y
has a huge pedigree against the Houston Texans. So I'm
okay with throwing t y out right now in about
an hour. Also, a lot of people are asking about
(09:35):
the cults running back, all right, and listen, I have
said this before. I said it as it related to
Wayne Gallman, Ty Johnson. Uh, there have been others right
where you automatically assume, Bang, this is the guy that's
gonna go in. I gotta tell you something. I'm gonna
say it again later on in the show because I'm
even betting a prop bet for it. Jonathan Williams is
(09:56):
everybody's darling, right, and he was plugging play Info Marlon
Mack with that offensive line. I think the cultural line
is still strong, okay, but you know what wasn't there
last week, Jordan Wilkins. And that to me means that
if you're gonna put all your chips in with Jonathan Williams,
(10:16):
and there's even reports that he's going to start, and
that's fine, okay, But it's the same exact thing as
when I said, Remember I said I bet that Adrian
Peterson under the week Darius Geiss was back right, He's
gonna take some of the volume away, all right. So
if you were now riding with this waiver ad Jonathan
Williams and you think he's gonna be the beast for you.
(10:38):
All I'm saying is that it's a different committee than
it was when he was put in in you know,
mid game, and there was no Marlin mac because of
the hand. All right, Wilkins is there. They have a
week to plan for this, to see how they want
to use nahem Hinz Okay, So I'm throwing cold water
on all of this. Jonathan Williams love, he may be
the guy, but I don't know that he's gonna run
(10:59):
for over a hundred like he did last week. And also, um,
we'll get into the home dogs. But you know, you
know how I always say what I got right, what
I got wrong on a Monday. I gotta go back
to Monday night real quick because I've said it before,
and what you saw Monday night was just more evidence
of this. Father Time is undefeated, and I believe Father
(11:22):
Time is calling for Mr. Rivers. This man has fourteen
interceptions on the season, second in the NFL, second only
to Jamis Winston. In his last sixty games, Philip Rivers,
He's thrown fifty eight interceptions in Eli's last sixty games through.
Remember what we were talking about and Eli Manning as
(11:43):
it related to interceptions and stuff. That's what Philip Rivers
is doing now. There's no zip on his ball. His
motion has always been bad. But you can't be like
this and then still be yelling at the offensive lightning,
still be yelling at the officials. There has been times
this year and Real Deal Stats would be its site
for people know that I have been backing the Charges
for a long time. I still think their roster is
(12:04):
one of the best in all of football. But the
problem maybe at the quarterback position, and it happens real quick.
You saw it happen to Eli. You saw it happen
to Peyton. There have been others who fall off the cliff,
and I kind of believe we're in that right now
with Philip Rivers. You know, like Marcus Mariota could probably
lead this team to the same record. Trod Taylor could
(12:27):
probably lead this team to the same record. So it
might the Chargers be in the market for finally drafting
it look Pittsburgh's drafted kids. The Giants have drafted kids.
Ben and Eli were in the same year, but the
Chargers never planned for the future. Yo it's time, all right.
That's what I gotta say about that. All right, Let's
look at these games going now into week twelve home dogs,
(12:51):
first home dog, and this is where we lean. I'll
tell you which one is a diamond, which one's a
fool crazy, so you can, you know, get a bigger
turkey for next year. That's what I'm for. And by
the way, I'm Spanish. Okay, we got a turkey, and
we have a beetnil. I don't know if y'all know
what benneil is, but yo, it's the bomb, all right.
And then we get that crunchy poteat. People be fighting
over that in my family, alright. So Jilly Dillekins and
(13:14):
friendship bread out. I'm hoarding the cheach out home in
my house, all right, So hopefully you get an extra
bit of cache for the holiday season. I know Yang
down there in the pit of misery knows about the
Beckneil and the cheach out home. You could come on
later and tell me if if they fight over it
in his family. But I digress. The first one, the
Washington football team. They are three and a half point
favorites at home against Detroit, all right, and how bad
(13:37):
is it that you are getting three and a half
points at home against Jeff Driscoll. But that's where we
are right now. And I've said it before. I am
not betting Dwayne Haskins until I see him win. They
couldn't do jack against the Jets, and I will take
the Detroit Lions to go in there. The Detroit Lions
have weapons, all right, Marvin Jones, Kenny Golladay, Golladay and
(14:01):
I kind of think bo can do a little bit
of work both Scarboro. That is, I know Detroit can score.
I've seen them score even with the backup quarterback. Can Washington?
I don't know, so I think Washington is a home
doog gay zy, I'll lay the points and take the Lions.
The Jets are getting three and a half points or
three points now at home against Oakland. This is a
(14:22):
big one, guys. This is I think this one for real. Honestly,
give me the Jets and the points at home. And
I know I'm a Jets fan. Of people gonna be like, yo,
you're a homer, blah blah blah. No, here's why west
coast to East coast matters for a one o'clock game.
The body clocks all that, the Raiders are horrible on
the East Coast at one o'clock historically. All Right. The
second thing the Jets, for all their flaws, they have
(14:45):
the number two ranked run defense in the NFL. The
Jets can stop the run. This is not gonna be
like remember last week I had Josh Jacobs in my
DFS lineup. I said he'd run all over Cincinnati. Well,
that was the worst run defense in the NFL. It's
gonna be different on Sunday. Okay, for Josh Jacobs and
thus I believe car it's gonna be on his arm.
I'm not sure if he's able to do it. Sammy
(15:06):
Donald and these Jets have been good lately, Okay, they've
been better, and I think they're gonna be able to
stop the run. I think give me the Jets at
home with three points. Also, listen, the Raiders are starting
to smell themselves. Okay, they're starting to be like everyone's like, oh,
they're doing such a great job doing the playoffs. I
think this is the trap right here. Okay, so I'd
lay that Cincinnati and Pittsburgh. The Bengals are getting six,
(15:29):
six and a half seven points at home against Pittsburgh.
I passed on this game. I have no FN idea
because I do not know how Pittsburgh is going to
respond after the brawl. I really don't. You're gonna have
no pound C. We know, we don't know if there's Connor,
we don't know if there's Juju Deonte's practicing. There will
be no pound C. Right, this can go one of
(15:49):
two ways. It could be looking ahead to the rematch
with Cleveland. This could be the trap game, or this
could be the like band of brothers right us against
let's show the world kind of things. I'm staying away
from this one. And then the other one is the
Rams getting three or three and a half points at
home against Baltimore on Monday night. I think I'm gonna
fade the streak of Baltimore. Everyone loves Baltimore. I think
(16:12):
this is different because also east to west in a
night game is a real thing. The Rams are getting
a little bit healthier. I just gotta feel, and this
is the home team. I like the Rams here in
this one. If I'm getting more than a field goal,
Let's see what the Ravens can do, if they can
really run this gauntlet that is out in front of them.
So I will take Detroit, I will take the Jets,
(16:32):
and I will take the Rams. So to me, the
Jets and the Rams of the home dog Diamonds, and
the Washington football team is a home dog gazy someone
you still even with the points, even at home, you
need to forget about all right. On the other side
of the break, here's what we're gonna do. Okay, we
got some bangers today, Danny refreshing the playlist. That's what
(16:54):
I like to hear. But we got on the other
side of the break, we'll talk Game of Inches. I've
seen some recent submissions also, I Voodoo and others. And
then we'll get into some DFS leans here in our
next segment. Before we talk about Thursday Night football, it
should boy to spitting Statistician episode four nineteen of The
Status of a Beat Cipher Dilly Dilly to the crew.
Come on back heard. NFL season is now upon us.
(17:18):
So you can become the eighth person away one million
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(17:39):
And that's promo Code Action, first hend percent discount. Dailey
Order dot Com where millionaires are made. Yeah, there's a
war going on out side. No man is safe from.
(18:01):
Yeah that's a little mob deep. I don't know about
that little prodigy. Yeah, that's the real deal. Status over
beat cipher You. We try and do what we try
and do. I got some guys in the chat room,
Dexter is asking me. I'll go with Jalen Samuels and
Josh Jacobs as the two there. Caesar is in there, listen.
I know Baker is doing this thing, but I think
(18:22):
remember they're playing Cincinnati. I do believe right, they're playing Miami.
They're playing some dreg team. I think they're gonna run
the ball a little bit more to me. For Cleveland,
it's gonna be a Nick Chubb game, not a Baker
Mayfield kind of game. So for that, Caesar, I'm gonna
go to Deshaun Watson on that. My man Jose knows
about that. Cheat out home. That's right, yo, yo, we'd
be fighting over that, you know. Even what I'll do
(18:44):
is I'll roll up to my grandma like when she's
still cooking, because she's got a little plate of it
on the side, and I'll pick at it. You know
what it is? Um and men? Though, yes, we're about
to get into game of inches, all right, but I
don't I don't need to know about you know, all
your other derivatives of game of inches. You you call
it like game of yards though, bro, But I digress.
That's enough. I also gotta let you guys know check
(19:05):
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That is where millionaires are made, all right. As you
guys know, here we do a little game of inches, Mendo,
I don't need to hear of it, game of game
of yards, game of Miles bro, that game of light Years.
(19:50):
You know what I'm saying. But um and big shot
out of course the Derek Vosion of and to Mike
Voodoo and some others who sent me their kind of
Game of Inches nominees, but I didn't get it in time. Alright.
The best thing to do is send it to me
like on a on a Monday or Tuesday when it's finalize,
so that I can get it to the guys down
in the pit and we can put it up just
like number two, Danny, number two that we want to
(20:12):
put up. I said this one on Monday. Bang, there's
Ventra again. Danny Ventra banged out on the Seattle San
Francisco Monday night football game with the kicker on the
last play of the game. And then the very next week,
just so you guys know, where's Antonio. That's the closer,
Chris Venture. This is our Pit of Misery League, the
staff League. Jim never gonna pay that is Jim Day
(20:35):
Fantasy tazz. And so this was like a you know,
a frenzy goon squad uh black on black crime kind
of thing right here, and Jim snuck it out Game
of Inches. But here's what I'll say, Danny Ventra started
O J Howard and he got squaw douche out of him.
Jim Dad beat him even with Connor getting banged out
(20:57):
in the middle of the game, right, only getting two
points out of Connor. Trust me, I know I had
Connor in a lot of lineup. So yeah, I know
you didn't as well, Danny. Trust me, I know I
answer your questions on Sunday morning. I know your entire lineup.
Brother man um, So what do you think about this one?
I think it's just bad because, like, yo, if you're
Venture now right, like Game of Inches back to back weeks,
(21:18):
that's rough. Danny. Yeah, this is painful for Venture. I
I mean, I don't want to say I feel bad
for Venture. We don't feel bad because but I love
you closer. But but but yeah, I mean this is
I was just like, that's that's just bad. It really is,
all right, And here's the thing, Danny, I'm about to
(21:40):
put up another one, and guess what it is, someone
who it's the second time this year we're putting up
their game of inches. Okay, true, real deal stats over
beat Cipher. Remember, like, it gets no realer than this.
If you had to name four people on the stats
over beat Cipher, you would name this person for a
second time in the season. Danny put up perry Ing
(22:03):
this week again. Oh man, Danny, point to Danny, point
to point too. Now here's the thing for me, though
the opponent was starting Derrick Henry on there bye week,
you know what I mean. So for me, yeah, you
only lost by two perry Ing, but just should have
(22:26):
lost by more. You know what I mean, because someone
who managed their team appropriate Lea, he would have had
someone in that running back spot, so I wouldn't be
just a point to and it would look like you
lost by eleven or something like that, you know what
I mean, Danny. Yeah, But here's the thing ahead. He
can't beat himself. So it's like this is just like
it sucks free free money. And here's the other thing.
(22:48):
And here's the other thing about why this one for
Perrying is certainly not like what week three happened. When
Perry got banged down on the bear sack at the
amount of the day Night Football. Because Perry has the
damn four the Niners defense, and the Niners defense got
that fumble in that touchdown on the last play of
the game. You're lucky to get an extra whatever it was.
I think it was like eight points that you got.
(23:10):
So those eight points made it look like you lost
by point too. And then Henry didn't play, you know
what I mean. So this is not the same as
Week three for Perry Yang, you know, Danny, I mean,
I feel bad that he didn't get that extra Yeah,
trust me, Yeah, I feel bad. It sucks. I'm sorry,
but there have been other game of inches that have
(23:33):
been a little bit closer. I will say this though, Danny.
The fact that Perry Ing now has this twice and
our boy Chris Ventra, you know the clothes with Jimmy
g He's got it twice. That's big. I'll tell you
what Perrying from week three, Zack from week six, Greg
from week seven, and the other one from Ventra in
week ten with the Jason Myers field goal. If any
(23:56):
of you in two weeks miss your playoffs by one game,
please show me the final standings. If this game of
inches was the difference of you going like, you know,
seven and six verse six and seven, and that was
the difference in the playoffs. I want to know, because
we'll go out there and we'll we'll send you a
present or something like that. All right, Um, so let's
turn our attention, Danny to a little bit of DFS stuff.
(24:18):
All right, I got some DFS nuggets. So the first
thing we do, okay, and this is me, guys, I'm
trying to teach you how to fish. Remember, not just
giving you a fish. I teach you how to fish.
And so when I'm looking at DFS, the first thing
I do is I look at the high total games.
I look at games with a total at forty nine
or above, or they're up in the fifties. Tampa Bay
(24:39):
in Atlanta fit that description this week, Tampa Bay in Atlanta.
That's why I also remembering the question. It was like
Matt Ryan or Deshaun Watson, and I went, Matt Ryan, Right,
this game Tampa Atlanta has a total of fifty one.
I'm looking to find some you know, goodness in that
one first. And I don't gotta look long, Okay, because
(25:00):
to the man's point that was asking me before. Who
was before that was asking me Matt Ryan or someone else?
I believe it was jose It was jose Um. Not
only would I pick Matt Ryan there, but Matt Ryan
is my DFS quarterback this week. People at Sevred, I
like Matt Ryan. Also, remember I love the fact that
(25:22):
he's facing the thirty first ranks passing defense. The other thing, though,
the Bucks have a good run defense, their second in
the league against the run, thirty one in the league
against the pass Brian Hill, DeVante Freeman. I don't care
who it is. How do you think this is gonna
go down. I think it's gonna go down via the
passing game and Matt Ryan. Listen, last week against Carolina,
(25:44):
he threw for three eleven. Remember he was out in
between there for a little while. I think he gets
back to going. This is one of these volume throwers.
This is a guy who has plenty of passing yards.
I'm gonna spend and I'm gonna get Matt Ryan in
my quarterback spot. Oh you want me to stack him
with someone? Mm hmm, sure, give me Julio Jones as
(26:05):
my high price wide out. This week to stack it
around with Matt Ryan Uh at eight four hundred. Need
I say more? I just said that. Listen, they're thirty
feet against the pass. In general, they are thirty second
last in the league against the wide receiver position. So
there's a stack for you, and I will in fact
pay up because a lot of these other guys I'm
taking this week. Not a lot, okay, not not that
(26:26):
expensive at the running back position. Give me Jalen Samuels,
he's at I told you about James Conner. I don't
care if he's active. Give me Jalen Samuel's. All right,
this is against Cincinnati. What is Cincinnati the worst run
defense in the NFL. I've said it before. I said
it last week when it was Josh Jacobs. I'll say
it this week again. Give me the running back facing Cincinnati. Okay,
(26:49):
it's happened weekend week out. I'll take Samuel's. I don't
trust Connor at an their price. Accordingly, another running back
I like this week. Give me Leonard for Nette this
week at seven thousand. The team has come out and
said Maron has come out and said we need to
get Leonard four Nette more involved. Okay, I'll try and
find the exact quote. Uh Maron said last week when
(27:11):
he went eight quote, that was my mistake. That was
a big mistake by me. That's on me as a
head coach. We need to be more balanced moving forward.
All right, and listen, Tennessee middle of the road defense,
middle twelve, middle ten of the NFL. I think they're
gonna feed four net. This is kind of a division matchup.
I think they are going to feed him at seven thousand.
(27:33):
I like his value. I'm gonna go back to Darius
Guys as well. Match up play for me. Okay, Darius guys. Listen,
who's the worst run defense? Um, I've been saying some
of them. The Detroit Lions are bottom ten run defense
as well. So I like guys. I like Samuels, I
like Big Leonard as far as uh some running backs
at the wide receiver position. I gave you Julio already.
(27:56):
I'm telling you I like DeVante Parker. DeVante Parker has
been very good recently. He really has. Without Preston Williams, right,
they can't. They don't. Caitlin Blage is a volume play.
They don't have a run game. They're gonna be down
in my opinion, they're gonna need to sling it. DeVante
Parker has ten targets each of his last two games,
(28:19):
including last week, him going seven for one thirty five
at only six thousand dollars. I think Devanta Parker represents value.
I don't care if Denzel Ward and Greedy Williams are there.
It's an opportunity, volume play and another wide receiver that
I absolutely love this week, and they're facing the seven
ranked pass defense and they're the apple of the quarterbacks.
(28:39):
I give me Jamison Crowder again with Sammy d back
in their eight targets last week. This is a guy
who continues to be targeted by Sam Donald. Remember the
week one of the season. He has also scored a
touchdown in three straight games. I think he can do
it again this week. Give me Parker Crowder and who
(29:00):
Leo Jones. When we come back on the other side
of the break, I'll give you a tight end play.
I'll give you some defenses to play, and then we
will turn our attention to the stats. Overbeat Cipher and
Thursday Night Football. Danny open up the phone lines as well.
The number of call is eight four four eight four
three six eight seven nine eight four four eight four
three six eight seven nine. If you want to talk
(29:21):
to the spitting statistician, we got time for a couple
of phone calls as well. All Right, we finish up
the DFS love, We look at the stats over beats League,
we look at Thursday Night Football, and we help you
when your leagues and when net cash. It's Fantasy Freestyle
episode four nineteen. If someone wants to give me some
extra cheach out home, I'll take. NFL season is now
(29:42):
alp hada, so you can be on the eighth person
to win one million dollars in a fandueler Draft Kings tournament.
My sator lineup using the Daily Order dot Com DFS
line of optimizer. If you're playing Daily Fantasy Sports and
not using Daily Order dot Com, you sign it now
for the NFL Access with a master optimizers, r DFS
projections and better results into permal good Action first hender
(30:04):
cent discount, because that's perlal good action, first hendver cent
discomp dot com where millionaires are made. Is this for
all those Steelers fans that are asked me about Jaylen
Samuels that black and yellow, black and yellow. I also
(30:27):
got to tell somebody when I step up in the
place that yo I stepped correct? WHOA We got you
all in check with the stats overbeat Cipher episode four
hundred and nineteen, Jeremy McMahon was asking me Davante Parker
or Jalen Samuel's because it's PPR, I'd go Samuel's. Remember
Samuels caught like thirteen balls, right, but that's only if
(30:47):
there's no uh, James Conner, Jeremy and then Henry Henry
Henderson asked me a lot of people, a lot of
running backs. I'll go Darius guys of those, and then
of course, uh My man row John over there, who's
in the chat room A bunch is also saying, uh,
I can say whatever I want? Why not drink? Also,
you darn right, um, our fearless leader Mike Cardano knows
(31:12):
that I'm doing what I do. Uh. They actually told
me once that all I needed to do is just
not have the bottle. They're because it's branding, right, and
you know, if Corona wants to sponsor me or something
like that, it's all good. But otherwise we just gotta, like,
you know, we gotta make them pay for that. You
know what I'm saying, um, so I just do it.
I just do it. Uh. That's that's how it goes down,
(31:32):
all right. But in any event, I also wanted to
tell you remember how in DFS I say, the first
thing I look at is the high totals. Same thing
for defenses. People, Denver Buffalo is at thirty seven and
a half. I'm cool with either of those defenses, right,
Giants Bears thirty nine and a half. Um, the Giants
is an interesting value because I'm just fading Mitchell Drabinski,
to be quite honest, Steelers Bengals at only thirty eight
(31:55):
and a half. Ryan Finley still has a lot of
work to do. Those are good defenses as well. Um
So there you have it. And then when it comes
to the tight end position, Listen, you've got a lot
of people on by this week. Right, you got no Henry,
you got no Kelsey, You've got some others that are
playing like tonight or on Sunday night. So the tight
end position is hard. I'm gonna pay up, and I'm
(32:15):
gonna take Darren Waller, uh this week because Hooper, you
don't know about Ingram, you don't know about these guys
are out or whatever. You know, so I'm gonna pay up,
and I'll pay off for Darren Waller. I know the
Jets are fine as a as a as a kind
of a They're great as a rutting defense, not so
much as the passing defense. So remember when I say
it's on the arm of Derek Carr, I do believe that.
(32:36):
And the biggest kind of weapon he's had all years,
Darren Waller. So I'll pay the six for Darren Waller.
All right, Um, where should we go next? You know,
I want to talk about the cipher real quick, and
how much I love the cipher. Y'all know that already,
But um, the fact that the cipher is now showing
love to each other is absolutely incredible, ridiculous. It warms
(32:59):
my heart. It's Almo like it's friends giving every Monday
and Thursday from seven ap m Eastern. Danny put up
the picture of Jilly Dilley that one thank you. So
Julie Dilley has sent friendship bread now to about like
three dozen people. She's over there bacon left and right.
This is to uh my man Danny Lee from the
(33:21):
undisclosed location, thanking him for his service. You can take
it off. Thank you, Danny Um. But remember whether I
got Henry Henderson, remember his wife Jennifer Henderson now active
in the chat room, Danny Lee's daughter active, you know,
bouncing a baby shark. Henry Henderson asked me recently on Patreon,
and by the way, check me out out there if
you want to be real deal status of a bead cipher.
(33:42):
He asked me, like what shirt size I am? You know,
And I know Julie Dilley has sent me stuff before,
and you know, we appreciate that it is the holiday season,
but that's and I hope you guys know this by
now though though I don't do that. I don't do
all this for presents, all right, because I hope you
guys know this is a real community and I appreciate
all of you. I'm a size large, you know. But hey,
so whatever it is, let's look at it though, Danny m.
(34:06):
First of all, we got a spotlight matchup this week
in the stats over Beast League, and for me it
is Danny Lee and the undisclosed location. Danny up against
young Cas who took you out last week. Remember how
that was kind of like a playoff eliminator matchup, and
so he kind of is still there, but now undisclosed
location is six and five. He faces the Wizard of Cause,
(34:30):
who is also six and five. That is a huge matchup, Danny,
and right now, at least the Wizard of Cause is
favorite to beat our boy, Danny Lee in the Service
our Air Force Firefighter by about nine or ten points.
But as you know, you can't worry about the projections
because you know the projections wouldn't have had me beating
(34:50):
Jillie Dillio last week. So, Danny, what do you think
about this one? Wizard of Cause and undisclosed location. That's
a big matchup, six and five teams battling for playoff spots. Yeah,
this is gonna be interesting. I've been beaten by both teams, right, right, right,
all right, so it's a tough one, right, it's a
tough one. Um. I also want to say that I
play the PayPal Steelers. All right. The PayPal Steelers are
(35:12):
in playoff position. Okay, they're in they're in fifth place.
I need to bang them out the same way I
spoiled Jilly Dilley. Right, I need to do the same
thing with the PayPal Steelers, and maybe you could be
the benefit. Danny if I beat these people, maybe you
can then sneak into the playoff spot. You know what
I'm saying. I mean that would be nice. I did
say phrasing in your ear, but that would be really
really nice if you can beat thefore me and help
(35:33):
me get in the playoff. What do you mean phrasing
you bang them out? Yeah? Whatever, you know, that's how
we do it. You know that means spending statistician baby better.
In any event, we got some phone calls to get to.
All right, so before we get into before we get
into uh, Thursday Night football, my man Jared has just
come in. We're gonna be holding it down on in
(35:54):
Game Live. He's gonna get advanced notice on my prop
bets and things like that. But we got a couple
of callers I want to get to. First up, Terry
in the Jersey Shore. What's going on, Terry? How can
we help you in week twelve? Help you win your
leagues and win that cash? What's going on? Terry? I
have a non PPR okay uh le bonus? Did I
(36:16):
start will Fullward tonight? I don't know if he's a
decoy or do I try to see debot Samuel Debo answers.
The answer is Deebo Samuel. The answer is Deebo Samuel
for me, Will Fuller, Yeah, he may be back. I
don't know if he's gonna be active. We're more of
a decoy right and it's non PPR either, Deebo. Especially listen,
(36:37):
the forty Niners are a damn mash unit right now.
We don't know about Kittle, we don't know about Mannie Sanders.
Deebo Samuel has been the beneficiary of that terry. For me,
I feel strongly about this one. It's Deebo over. Will
Fuller call me back next week and let me know
how it went. All right? Oh, thank you so much. Absolutely,
you know how it is. Next up, we go to
(36:58):
Jose and TAAs. Jose was going down uh down there
in Texas. How can we help you win your leagues
and win that cash? Brother, Yes, hurt, thank you for
taking my call. I have a two quick questions. Quick questions.
I have Curtis Samuel or Will Fuller for for week
(37:18):
number twelve. Yeah, I like Curtis Samuel, those two. It'll
be Curtis Samuel, Okay, I like Curtis Samuel. Remember I also, Yeah,
Curtis Samuel. I also told you for the Saints, they
have one of they have one of the best cornerbacks
in the league. Okay, Jose. His name is Marshall and
Lattimore and he ain't playing all right, so that helps.
That helps the Carolina pass offense. I know Kyle Allen
(37:39):
has sort of turned into a pumpkin a little bit lately,
but I'm comfortable firing up DJ More or Curtis Samuel.
I know Fuller's back in and he might go for
a big bomb tonight, but I'm not gonna bet on it.
I would go with Curtis Samuel. Jose. What's your other question? Okay?
And now the quick list out of out of these
(37:59):
two and Golden Tate, Christian Kirk or Robert Woods in
the standard League for the rest of the season for
the rest of the season, do you think. And it's
a standard league because that's important because if it was PPR,
I'd be all about Golden Tate. Okay, but it's a
it's the rest of the season because you know the
Cardinals are on by this week, I do believe, right,
(38:19):
So there's no Christian Kirk this week. Okay, So the
answer is not Kirk for this week rest of season.
That's really close. Honestly, Hey, Jared Golden Tate or Christian
Kirk rest of the season, it's pretty close, right, that's
pretty close. Yeah, what I would do, honestly, Here's here's
what I'm gonna say. I believe that Kyler Murray is ascending.
(38:42):
I believe that offense is getting better and better, whereas
it's not like the Giants offense is not. But here's
what I do know about the Giants offense for the future.
I know that Sterling Shepherd is coming back. I know
that Evan Ingram is going to come back. I know
that se Kwon Barkley is rounding back into form after
the high ankles brain. So I think takes piece of
the pie may get smaller at the end of the season,
(39:05):
Whereas I like Christian Kirk in that offensive sending. So
for those reasons, Alien Christian Kirk rest of the season.
Thanks for the call. Jose called me back any time. Uh.
You know, with the spin statistician of you win your
leagues and win they're cash part of the cipher the
last call for us and if your real deal stats
over beat cipher, you probably know who it is Connor
and Tampo. What's going on? Brother? Man? You know what? Man?
(39:27):
How you doing? I'm doing for you? I said? But yeah, whatever,
I won my freaking on my won my two points
last week because I Austin next Gordon, I want two
points the last all right? I like that kind of
Remember our game of inches are when we lose, not
(39:49):
when we win by the crazy Yeah you do? You
like the humble brag? But real quick, what you got
because I gotta get to my Thursday night football thoughts
here people want to win of money? So what you got?
So I gotta a three D three for you for
tonight for the show down? Play so um right now?
Originally right now? My lineup originally is who the captain
with d Hop? Grissette, Jonathan Williams, Jack Dwell and Kymie
(40:12):
bear Band. Would you want to play d Hop? Would
you to play captain? Was Shawn Watson and Will Fuller?
Or keep the t Y Hill was with Jacobe That's interesting?
Who was in the captain seat? Uh? T Y or
d Hop? That's interesting? And here's my thing. T Y
will be lower owned. In my opinion, I think everyone's
gonna be on d Hop right I think a lot
of people will be on d hop And here's the thing,
(40:34):
and I'm gonna tell you Connor, and thanks for the
call as always. All right. Now, I don't know if
t Y is gonna pop, okay, but he has had
big as games against the Texans before, and I think
because he'll be lower owned, if he does go seven
for one and two touchdowns, it will be better for you.
I would lean t Y in the captain seat. It's
(40:55):
more of a boom er bus risk reward play, but
the reward could be better because I think kill be
lower owned. So my answer is t Y and has
always Connor. Thanks for the call, Danny. I gotta talk
about Thursday night football here, okay, And I'm just gonna
repeat this to Jared Smith and about oh, I don't know,
fifteen minutes or so. So here's what I'll say. This
is a tough game for me to call it really
(41:15):
is it really is. This is a tough game, alright,
big battle for a f c UH South supremacy. Here's
what I'll also tell you. If you remember, remember how
I've been railing against Adam Vinitarry, one of the things
I told you is that before last week. Every single
Colts game the rest of the season was decided by
seven points or less. The Colts play tight games. I
(41:39):
don't think that changes in a division matchup. Okay, I
like I have a slight lean towards the Colts plus
three and a half or plus three, and the reason
for me will be because of the trenches. I think
Indianapolis is much better upfront. Their offensive line is better.
That's why you can plug and play running backs, right.
But I also think their defensive line is better than
(41:59):
that Texans offensive line. And Deshaun Watson, I think is
gonna get sacked. Oh, I don't know, Jared what five times,
six times maybe? And I think that is going to
be the difference. Okay for me. When the chips are
down on the table, the Colts offensive line will move people.
Whether it's Wilkins, Williams, Hines, I don't give a damn
who it is. I think the Colts offensive line, and
(42:22):
I think the lack of skill on the Texans offensive line,
Jeremy Tunsil with his gas mask. I don't care who
they drafted. It don't matter, I think, and it's not sexy.
People don't think about this. This game will be one
in the trenches, and I think Indie has that better.
I have a slight lean towards Indie and I'll take
three or three and a half points in a close game.
As for prop bets, a lot of people Jonathan Williams
(42:44):
is the only cult running back that has a prop bet,
and I think that's a foo gazzy way of looking
at it. His number is forty six and a half.
I know the report that he's gonna be the starter.
I don't give a damn all right, Jordan Wilkins will
get carries, not him. Hies will get touches for me,
I don't. I think this number is inflated because people think, oh,
(43:06):
it's Jonathan Williams and saw him last week. People forget
that Wilkins is there. So I'm under forty six and
a half for Jonathan Williams rushing yards. And also I
think the culture gonna be throwing Brissette over two hundred
and thirty three passing yards over thirty and a half attempts. Okay,
the Texans of twenty six against the quarterback, they allow
(43:27):
a hundred and eight point four rating in the red zone.
Prisette over on the touchdowns I like the Brissette, but listen,
you can't fade d Hop too much. Right The d
hop longest reception right now is that twenty and a half.
I think he gets one. Okay, I think they sling
it deep and I think he gets one. So give
me over d Hop on the longest reception, Brissette over
(43:47):
yards and attempts and under Jonathan Williams slight lean plus
three and a half to the Indianapolis Colts. I'll see
y'all next week, but we're talking about Lucky Week thirteen,
your last chance to get into the fantasy playoffs. Oh
my goodness. I hope you guys win your leagues and
win that cash. We'll be talking about it. Meet tomorrow morning,
Sunday morning. You know what it is. NFL season is
(44:12):
now upon us, so you can become the eighth person
a wain one million dollars in a fandueler Draft Kings tournament.
My setting their lineup using the Daily Order dot Com
DFS line of optimizer. If you're playing daily Fantasy sports
and not using Daily Order dot Com, you're doing it wrong.
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(44:33):
action first hen per cent discount. And that's promo code
action first hend per cent discount. Daily Order dot com
where millionaires are made. What you missed on the fitnessy freestyle,
we're gonna do. Okay, that's what we usually do, all right.
(44:53):
If you're part of the SATs over Beat cipher, you
know the routine. Here, we gotta get you ready for
week twelve of the fantasy football season, of the DFS season,
of just the NFL season, so you can find those
inefficiencies and make a little bit of extra case. She
can get like, you know, a big turkey. All right,
that's what we're going for here. We're going for a
big piece of chicken. You know what I'm saying. To
quote my man Chris Rock, shout out if you know
(45:15):
the reference of going there and give me my big
piece of chicken. But I digress. We've got injuries to update,
all right. These are the people I say it all week.
What you have to do is see which direction they
are trending in. But here's the guys you need to know.
Apparently Mitchell Trobiski is gonna go He's practicing back in
full alright, So maybe it was just a bruised ego
that happened with his hip, all right, but he's practicing
(45:37):
in full. Whether that's a good thing for the Bears
or not, I'm not too sure, but he'll be out there.
Philip Dorset with ahead, Mohammed Sunu with an ankle, they
both did not practice. Oh and by the way, in
case you didn't realize, Gronk is not coming through that
door anytime soon. Right, So what does that mean for
this new England offense? We have talked about this new
England offense all season long. Right, Yes they are vintage,
(46:01):
but there's still nine in one and there's now buzz
that you know, Mr Antonio Brown could be back in
the future plans. Remember he apologized to everybody. I guess
they've heard. The NFL has heard the case, so we'll
see what they do about that. Do I trust the
NFL to do anything in a kind of aligned or
reputable or consistent way. No, But in any event, all right, Um,
(46:22):
Tyler Lockett with that crazy contusion right that forced him
to the hospital on Monday, Um, he's back then, limited
he's gonna go all right, So it's amazing. You can
go from the hospital to a limited practice in like
three days. But it looks like Tyler Locke it will
be okay. Listen for me. James Conner is a big one. Okay.
He again did not practice today. He's got that shoulder.
Remember he tried to give it a go, but it
(46:43):
wouldn't work and they kind of pulled him at this point.
Even if he practices tomorrow, even if he's cleared, I'm
worried about him. I'm worried that he can get banged
up in the middle of a game like we saw
and if you are starting him, you know, then you're
gonna be left, you know, holding the bag. And that's
what happened to me and one of I leagues starting
James Conner, and I think at some point you gotta
(47:03):
just avoid the situation, right Jalen Samuels, I think is
the move or find other options if you need to.
We talked about guys in the waiver wire. I listen.
Even if Connor is active, I am very skeptical of him.
It looks like Bobby Woods is back at practice. He's
returned to the team because of the personal issues he
was going through. I don't know what it is, you know,
but he's back with the team. And listen, if he's
(47:24):
back with the team and it's not an injury, right
and he wasn't like out a line. He did it
the right way, told his team it's not like the
discipline coming for him, just go on a wall. So
if he's back, he gonna play. Be sure to follow
all our social media at evan t s Y sports
Net and at ev and t s Y Radio And
now I'm tweeting about you, Bra,
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