Derek Moore and Jay Pestrichelli once again are here to break down the Jay Powell Jackson Hole statement and the market reaction including latest interest rate projections. Then they comment on the idea proposed by politicians of price caps and whether companies are making record profits based on net profit margins. Later they discussed the huge revision lower in employment number in the establishment survey and whether it’s a big deal or now and why the difference between the monthly releases and the first preliminary annual revision. Finally, they discuss the positive of the US Dollar potentially breaking down for US companies and the latest in volatility markets.
Jay Powell Fed signals the time is now to change policy
The “Goodship Transitory” and Jay Powell
Fed funds interest rate projections
Whether the Fed raising or lowering interest rates made any impact
Huge first preliminary revision by 800k in the establishment employment survey
What Goldman Sachs cited for the reason in the revisions in data
Difference between the monthly employment numbers and these annual revisions
US Dollar index and how a lower dollar helps multinational US company earnings
Politicians are talking price caps and why those never work
Examining a few companies net profit margins to see if they are actually making record profits
Volatility markets including the VIX and VVIX
Mentioned in this Episode
Fastest Correction Ever? | VIX Index Collapse Post Spike | Will the Fed Push Back on a 50 bps Interest Rate Cut? | Latest Inflation Analysis and Soft, Hard, or No Landing?
https://open.spotify.com/episode/1L5RNtfOKAc59TtOODf1dK?si=dzldc_NFSuKuve7nkZc4Ig
Derek Moore’s book Broken Pie Chart https://amzn.to/3S8ADNT
Jay Pestrichelli’s book Buy and Hedge https://amzn.to/3jQYgMt
Derek’s new book on public speaking Effortless Public Speaking https://amzn.to/3hL1Mag
Contact Derek derek.moore@zegainvestments.com
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